22 September 2013

Global Transport Scenarios until 2050

over the next four decades, the global transportation sector will face the challenges related to demographics and pressure to minimize  outside urban centres, congestion of aging transport
infrastructure and growth in fuel demand.  These challenges will all be compounded by uncertainties
emerging from government intervention and
regulation.

Regional and global cooperation,
unstable global economic situations, and potential
technological breakthroughs will give bad  impact.
In light of these challenges and
the levels of uncertainty, the World Energy Council
(WEC) decided to re-examine the future of the
transport and mobility sector by building Global
Transport Scenarios to 2050. These scenarios will
describe potential developments in transport fuels, 
technologies, and mobility systems over the course
of the next forty years. Undoubtedly, the evolution
of the transport world between 2010 and 2050 will
offer many challenges, the biggest of which is providing sustainable transport for the seven tonine billion people at the lowest social cost
possible.

The World Energy Council believes that constructive dialogue between national and local policy makers, manufacturers, consumers and producers will be essential if we are to meet thesechallenges. Only with discovery, promotion and development of new energy resources, matched to innovation and improvements in current technologies.

Now is the time for strong leadership at both government and enterprise levels if the transport sector is to make a positive contribution towards the well-being of future generations. Regional inputs on transport policies, existing and potential developments in both fuels and technologies, in addition to major driving forces and critical uncertainties were all examined and combined into two distinct transport scenarios 
“Freeway” and “Tollway.” The main difference  between these two scenarios is the degree and 
style of government intervention in regulating future transport markets.

  • The “Freeway” scenario will be seen a world where pure market forces prevail to create a climate for open global competition.
  •  The “Tollway” scenario describes a more regulated world where governments decide to intervene in markets to promote technology solutions and infrastructure development that put common interests at the forefront. 
  • both scenarios describe the extreme ends of the potential futures envelope. 
  • by 2050 we noted that  total fuel demand in all transport modes will increase by 30% (Tollway) to 82% (Freeway) its shown the growth of fuel demanded in market drastically. 



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